NFL Picks - Week 4

I was 8-8 picking winners in Week 3. After 3 weeks, I'm 29-19 picking winners. Still not wonderful - I'm picking too many upsets.

Last week, my Chargers lost 31-24 in a game that they should have won against Green Bay. The Pack lead 17-14 at the half and the Bolts were ahead 21-17 with 2 minutes to go in the game. The Pack scored to go ahead 24-21, and the Chargers were moving the ball when Philip Rivers was intercepted and the Pack scored quickly again. The Chargers kicked a FG late but didn't recover the onside kick. The Chargers offense was better - although they never established the running game, but the pass protection was better. Philip Rivers completed his first 15 passes, and was 21-24 at one time. The Bolts defense was almost helpless against Brett Favre as the Pack passed for 365 yards. The defense had only two sacks and no turnovers.

My Chargers are favored by 12 points over Kansas City at home this week.

My prediction for the game is Chargers 24, Chiefs 16.

My picks for Week 4 are:

San Diego (1-2) (H) over Kansas City (1-2)
Chicago (1-2) over Detroit (2-1) (H)
Dallas (3-0) (H) over St. Louis (0-3)
Miami (0-3) (H) over Oakland (1-2)
Houston (2-1) over Atlanta (0-3) (H)
NY Jets (1-2) over Buffalo (0-3) (H)
Green Bay (3-0) over Minnesota (1-2) (H)
Baltimore (2-1) over Cleveland (1-2) (H)
San Francisco (2-1) (H) over Seattle (2-1)
Tampa Bay (2-1) over Carolina (2-1) (H)
Indianapolis (3-0) (H) over Denver (2-1)
Pittsburgh (3-0) over Arizona (1-2) (H)
Philadelphia (1-2) over NY Giants (1-2) (H)
New England (3-0) over Cincinnati (1-2) (H)

Not playing: Washington, Jacksonville, New Orleans, Tennessee.

Go Chargers!! please?